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Coronavirus – Serious Pandemic Or Something Else? Part 1

What’s the real story behind Covid-19?  Is it really as serious as the media tell us?

This is the Part 1 of a three-part article. It questions the lockdown strategy.  Part 2 identifies the real decision maker and Part 3 asks, what is the hidden agenda and is Covid-19 prophesied in the Bible?

Covid-19I’ve been aware of the risk of a pandemic for some time.  Last year I even bought a 10-pack of N95 masks, just in case.  When in January, the first reports of a novel coronavirus emerged from China I urged my family to stock up with a few weeks food and get some masks themselves.  Some complied, largely to humour me rather than to mitigate the impending disaster.  My foolish offspring tried to console me with, “It’ll be fine, dad”.  Several weeks later, as shops ran out of basic food items and masks were nowhere to be found, my family began to think I was right.

I’ve considered writing about the pandemic several times over the past weeks, but have not had the confidence that I had a sufficiently objective view.  Now, with four months of research and reflection, it is clear that my family’s initial instinct was right and I was wrong.  Covid-19 (CV-19) is no worse than a bad flu year and the reaction to it will kill, and ruin the lives of, far more people than the disease.  That’s not my opinion, it is the view of 500 US doctors who wrote to President Trump calling for an end to the lockdown.  It is also the view of the Swedish government, as well as the much maligned and ridiculed Brazilian president, Jair Bolsonaro.

It is a revealing aspect of the media coverage surrounding the pandemic that anyone taking a more relaxed view than the hysterical media or the fearful, cowering masses, is denigrated and scorned.  Yet, in the history of biological threats to mankind, CV-19 will likely appear minuscule by comparison.  As many doctors have pointed out, flu too has the potential for serious repercussions to health: pneumonia, myocarditis, encephalitis, myositis, rhabdomyolysis, multi-organ failure, sepsis and of course, death.  Since previous pandemics killed many more people than CV-19 is likely to, logically we might argue for an annual lockdown to guard against their effects.  When autumn comes and the number of flu cases begin to rise again, will we immediately lock down the population just in case it turns out to be a bad year?  Of course not: so what is so special about CV-19?

How Covid compares to other pandemics

As of 12 June 2020, we’re heading for 42,000 UK deaths supposedly resulting from CV-19.  I say “supposedly” because no one really knows how many people have actually been killed by the disease.  As Jenny Harries, Assistant Chief Medical Officer, speaking of the reported death toll, quite openly stated, “These are Covid-associated deaths, they are all sad events.  They would not all be a death as a result of Covid.”  In other words, some of the people that are claimed to have died of CV-19, didn’t.  Or to put it another way, the figures are pure gibberish: most of these people would have died soon anyway.  How many? Nobody knows.

“They would not all be a death as a result of Covid.”

Assistant Chief Medical Officer, Jenny Harries

Malcolm Kendrick, GP and Author is quoted as saying, “As an NHS doctor, I’ve seen people die and be listed as a victim of coronavirus without ever being tested for it.”

Source: Office of National Statistics

For all the efforts of the media to find examples of young people dying from the disease, the fact is that it is old people that die from it – and more rarely, sick people.  The US Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) point out that the risk of death to a school age child posed by CV-19 is less than the risk of being hit by lightning.  With little or no evidence of child to adult contagion (see COVID-data-top-10), this demonstrates the absurdity of continuing school closures.

Some doctors have claimed that they are being pressured to add CV-19 to death certificates when there is no evidence of its presence.   If true, it should not come as any surprise.  Politicians will have a lot of explaining to do over the coming months for the utterly disproportionate response that they have unleashed upon us, and bumping up the numbers makes for a more robust defence.  Given such reports and the openly admitted arbitrary methods of recording deaths, it is safe to say that 40,000 is a maximum number and the real one might be far less: comparable in fact, to the 30,000 that die in the UK in a bad flu year and less than half the number killed by the 1968 flu pandemic.

The UK government ridicules such a view, pointing to the 45,000 “excess” deaths since the start of the pandemic, but they undermine their own figures by simultaneously claiming that less than 33,000 of those were deaths by CV-19.  As already pointed out, even that figure, by their own admission, includes deaths that were not a result of CV-19.

Unsurprisingly, the figures of the number of people who have died as a result of the lockdown itself receives far less publicity.  Yet it has many implications; not least for the 2 million people who have become unemployed because of it.  Reports of suicide, and deaths as a result of people unable or unwilling to access medication and treatment, litter the media.  The ongoing consequences – the mental health issues,  domestic violence and increased alcohol and drug abuse – will last far into the future.

For every frail old man CV-19 has killed, the 1918-19 Spanish Flu pandemic killed 100 healthy, young, men, women and children.

CV-19 is the fourth pandemic in living memory.  The first, in 1918-19, killed 30-50 million people worldwide.  In 1957 about 1 million died and in 1968 between 1 and 4 million.  So far, CV-19 is claimed to have killed some 400,000.  CV-19, apart from killing a hundred times fewer people, differs from the 1918 epidemic in one important respect.  Whereas 99% of CV-19 victims are over 60, 99% of Spanish Flu victims were under 65.   CV-19 overwhelmingly kills the old and weak – those whose futures were already severely limited.

To get a perspective of just how bad this pandemic really is, it is worth understanding this difference: for every frail old man CV-19 has killed in the UK, the 1918-19 Spanish Flu pandemic killed 100 healthy, young, men, women and children.  The Black Death pandemic of 1348-62 killed 1000 people for every one CV-19 victim.

Meanwhile worldwide, 1.3 million people die each year in road accidents and a similar number die from diarrhoea caused by poor sanitation and hygiene.   Diabetes kills 1.5 million.  10 million die from bronchial cancers, infections and COPD, all largely the result of smoking and air pollution.  And 15 million people die each year from strokes and heart disease – principally caused by obesity, smoking, stress and sedentary lifestyles.

If the World Health Organisation and governments were really concerned about preventing deaths their efforts would be better directed to the 30 million plus who die each year of preventable conditions quite apart from the 36 million that die from starvation.

Governments’ behaviour is akin to the captain of the Titanic loading the old and frail into lifeboats, whilst leaving the young men, women and children to fend for themselves on the deck of the sinking ship.

At what point did we decide that life should be risk-free and that it is the government’s job to make it so?  Even if that were the objective, lockdowns only add risk.  While seeking to protect those that have had their lives, governments are destroying the futures of millions of young people.  Their behaviour is akin to the captain of the Titanic loading the old and frail into lifeboats, whilst leaving the young men, women and children to fend for themselves on the deck of the sinking ship.

The breathtaking disproportionality and true cost of the lockdowns appears to be eluding most people at present, but the coming months will reveal the catastrophe that it has unleashed.

People have died of course, and the pain that each and every death causes to the victims’ families and friends cannot be described.   Any discussion of numbers and the appropriate governmental or societal response is utterly and completely irrelevant to those directly affected.  Some would have gladly given their own lives to save a loved one and, for them, talk of the bigger picture is understandably obscene.  Policy and law however, cannot be written in the context of fear and grief.

It is also true that CV-19 should not be underestimated.  It is a very unpleasant disease for many who contract it, even if they survive: but then, perhaps less so, is flu.  On the other hand, 40% we are told, exhibit no symptoms whatsoever.

Although apparently accepted by most without question, lockdowns are new.  We used to keep sick people in quarantine to protect the healthy.  Lockdowns curtailed the freedom of perfectly healthy people, turning the concept on its head.

On 19th May more than 500 US doctors co-signed a letter to President Trump which read, in part:

It is impossible to overstate the short, medium, and long-term harm to people’s health with a continued shutdown. Losing a job is one of life’s most stressful events, and the effect on a person’s health is not lessened because it also has happened to 30 million other people. Keeping schools and universities closed is incalculably detrimental for children, teenagers, and young adults for decades to come. The millions of casualties of a continued shutdown will be hiding in plain sight, but they will be called alcoholism, homelessness, suicide, heart attack, stroke, or kidney failure. In youths it will be called financial instability, unemployment, despair, drug addiction, unplanned pregnancies, poverty, and abuse.

The entire lockdown strategy has been shown to be ineffective by Sweden who did none of it but has suffered only 481 deaths per million of the population compared to the UK’s 611 (source: worldometers.info 13/6/20).  Israel who adopted a stringent lockdown policy are amazed to find that lifting it has not caused the “second wave” experts have been hysterically warning the government will occur.

The media focus their venom on countries and leaders that refuse to buy in to the hype: Trump doesn't care about lives; Brazil's death rate is soaring and its leader is in denial; Mexico have resorted to digging mass graves to cope with the vast numbers of deaths. Let's compare:

CountryDeaths per 1 Million Population
UK611
USA353
Brazil197
Mexico128
Iran103
Japan7
China3
(source: worldometers.info)

When a guest on a BBC programme recently praised Sweden’s approach, the presenter quickly compared Norway’s lower death rate with Sweden’s, claiming that Norway’s lockdown saved the country.  Yet Norway’s public health authority themselves admit that they made the wrong choice.

Most people I speak to have a vague suspicion of serious economic consequences which might affect other people, but not them.  Very few are able to articulate the true cost to all of our lives – if that is even yet possible.

The “conspiracy theorists” are out in force as usual.  Various theories as to the origin of the virus have emerged: manufactured by the Gates Foundation; designed in/escaped from a Wuhan bio lab; planted in China by the US; the result of 5g transmissions; etc.  How plausible any of these theories are is anyone’s guess.  I have learned not to dismiss even the most implausible ideas as they have an unnerving habit of ultimately proving correct, if only partially.  The belief that the virus is not of natural origin appears to have some credence, particularly as it is held by many qualified and experienced medical researchers.  More concerning for now is the evidence as to how the virus is being used to justify a host of new controls and to excuse past failings.  That is not theory, but observation; as we shall see.

So, if the whole CV-19 messaging has been shown to be out of all proportion with the facts, we are left with one question: WHY?  We’ll deal with that question in Part 2 and Part 3.

You are welcome to comment on this article, but please read Part 2


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